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Rules with receipts.
Precisely defined daily rules, last observed triggers and measured outcomes. A historical success rate is not a forecast.
Small watch monitor
Saved only in this browser. Up to six instruments; one compact cached file per instrument when this tab opens.
Current state & last flag
Definitions, methodology & limits
Current history spans roughly three years; rare crosses, long horizons and calendar cycles often have too few observations. “Limited evidence” is deliberate. No parameter search, causal claim, or multiple-testing-adjusted significance is asserted. Prices are unadjusted; dividends and corporate actions limit return accuracy.
Other rules from your reference
Kept in the catalogue so missing sources cannot masquerade as “not flagged.”
What the data supports.
Deterministic statistical and economic context. Observations are separate from interpretations; correlated indicators do not count as independent confirmation.
Interpretation limits
These are dated daily closes and latest available macro releases. There is no live order flow, causal model, consensus surprise, calibrated forecast or AI-generated explanation. Covered-stock breadth is a small, selected universe; it is not NYSE breadth. Economic releases are revised and their reference dates are not their release timestamps, so this page is not a point-in-time macro backtest.
Open source economic histories →Company accounts, made inspectable.
Consolidated reported financials, formulas and editable valuation scenarios. Missing tags stay missing; funds are separated from operating companies.
Scope & source
SEC standard US-GAAP facts only, from matching filing accession and exact reporting period. Custom segment disclosures, footnotes, off-balance-sheet commitments, accounting-policy judgments and qualitative competitive analysis need the source filing. Annual/quarterly periods are separate; missing Q4 is not manufactured. Ratios are a starting screen, not a complete company audit. Financial firms need sector-specific analysis.
SEC source documentation ↗